Current vs PETM temperature change

A Scary Prediction: Catastrophic Climate Change

Today’s prediction is unfortunately a gloomy one. I predict that there will be one (or more) climate shocks that will likely accelerate the warming of the planet beyond what is already anticipated. Related to this would be a dramatic loss of biodiversity in the oceans due to the acidifying of oceans, coral bleaching and overfishing.

Our planet is/was in natural equilibrium when it came to global temperatures. Now it seems the equilibrium has been disturbed by manmade activity. The signs are that our current models are too conservative and have not sufficiently accounted for the effect of methane – a greenhouse gas 25 times worse than CO2 – being released from melting permafrost and the possibility of reaching a tipping point / feedback loop situation.

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Probability Robots will Take Your Job

Prediction: The Inevitability of Unconditional Basic Income

Today is the first of my “Prediction Saturday Series” posts. I intend to use these posts to put forward a prediction about the near future, e.g. 15 – 20 years from now.

My prediction for this week is the inevitability of an unconditional basic income; that is, that everyone will be paid a subsistence wage by the government irrespective of whether they work or not.

Tomorrow (June 5th, 2016), will be the first test of my prediction when the citizens of Switzerland will vote on providing an unconditional 2,500 Swiss Franks a month (about the same amount in US Dollars) to each of its citizens, regardless of work, wealth or their social contribution. Opinion polls suggest the referendum will be heavily defeated, and my prediction will not hold up at the first test. That is perfectly understandable as the conditions are not right for unconditional basic income as yet; but in 15 – 20 years’ time, they will be.

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